Surprise! With the availability of senior debt suddenly back to normal, middle-market LBO sponsors have the opportunity to profit more by using subordinated debt with warrants than by using coupon deals.
Coupon-only subordinated debt structures emerged to fill an important market need during the cash-flow senior-debt shortage of mid-2000 to mid-2003. But those days have passed. Today, warrant structures can often provide LBO sponsors with higher profits, higher IRR's, greater financial flexibility and better alignment of interests between junior lenders and sponsors.
On first impression, this conclusion may seem surprising: How can giving up warrants increase IRR or reduce the risk of financial distress? The answer lies in the recently restored availability of cash flow senior debt for LBO's. In the past six months, the credit cycle has matured from recessionary tight money to looser money typically found in the "middle age" of a cycle. Debt service coverage levels and cash interest rates now set the limits on total debt, not artificially low total debt leverage multiples.
When senior lenders required sponsors to keep total leverage ratios at unusually low levels, debt service coverage ratios were automatically strong as a result. During this tight money period, senior lenders (especially cash flow senior lenders) often limited the ratio of total debt to EBITDA to 3.5x or lower. With such low leverage, the higher interest costs of all coupon subordinated debt deals did not limit total debt availability. And the absence of warrants left sponsors with greater flexibility to refinance. Therefore, all coupon structures worked particularly well for LBO's with plenty of free cash flow. Although sponsors still had to put up extra equity, a quick refinancing allowed many of them to cut interest costs and make dividend distributions, all with no equity dilution.
In today's improved credit market, the advantages and disadvantages of warrant versus no-warrant deals are reversing. With amazing swiftness, the limiting factor on total leverage in many deals has become the fixed charge coverage ratio, rather than the total debt to EBITDA ratio. "Cash interest rates matter again," said William Kosis, president and chief executive officer of PNC Business Credit, a unit of Pittsburgh's PNC Financial Services Group Inc. "Most recently, lenders have relaxed the total debt to EBITDA ratio as long as the borrowers have good fixed charge coverage," he said.
This change provides sponsors with compelling reasons to prefer warrant deals to all-coupon structures in many instances. Sponsors can get higher IRR's with more total debt at lower average interest rates. Lower cash coupons in warrant deals encourage cash flow senior lenders to advance a greater amount of low cost senior debt. Even asset based lenders can increase the size of their "air ball" term loans since amortization can be higher, lowering the average interest rate on the deal. Lower cash interest also leads to better debt service coverage ratios in warrant deals, which in turn enables senior lenders to allow more subordinated debt and higher total debt to EBITDA levels.
|
What
Will It Take To Create A New Gold Standard for
Subordinated Debt for Middle Market
LBO's?
Benefits
That Sponsors Want: Senior lenders
able to advance more proceeds at low senior rates;
Senior lenders allowing an extra 0.25 to 0.50 turns of
sub debt; Higher free cash flow, even with higher
leverage; Lower risk of financial distress; Shared pain
with junior lenders if the deal goes sideways. The lower total
interest rate avoids an equity trap where enterprise
value grows a little, but equity value is destroyed by
compounding high coupon
debt. |
Structural
Elements to Deliver These Benefits:
Lower cash coupon
to improve debt service coverage; Lower total coupon to
reflect market conditions; More pay in kind (PIK)
interest to provide post-closing flexibility; Warrants
to create alignment of interests between subordinated
lenders and sponsors; Partnership approach with lenders
and sponsors who work together on a series of deals over
time.
Who
is Well Positioned to Deliver These Benefits:
Privately funded,
sponsor driven subordinated debt lenders, especially
those who use some leverage in their funding sources,
are best suited to provide financing that meets these
goals.
These firms have a cost structure that allows
competitive pricing and a philosophy that makes them
reliable
partners. |
"We can usually provide some additional senior debt and some relief on the total leverage covenant in transactions where the subordinated debt has a meaningfully lower cash pay rate," said Steve Robinson, a director of Antares Capital Corp., a Chicago-based provider of leveraged finance capital to equity sponsors and middle market companies.
More debt availability allows the sponsor to reduce the amount of equity required for the deal. Together, the lower blended interest rates and lower equity investments create higher IRR's.
As an example, take a typical LBO where expected post-closing performance is achieved and where a warrant structure allows senior and subordinated debt to be increased by 0.25 to 0.50 times EBITDA. The added leverage can improve the sponsor's IRR by 300 basis points or more. The improvement can be even more important if the target company's post closing results are somewhat disappointing. The lower total coupon in a warrant deal can be the difference between the sponsor achieving an adequate return on equity and virtually no profit at all.
Further, subordinated lenders who hold warrants have dramatically better alignment of economic interests with sponsors. Warrant holders care about growth and enterprise value. This alignment plays out everywhere from fewer documentation issues on intercreditor agreements to an improved sense of partnership at board meetings. Alignment of interests can be especially critical if a deal requires an amendment or waiver due to an acquisition or a performance bump. Lenders who hold warrants are likely to be more flexible and to make changes at a lower cost. Some all coupon subordinated lenders who get no tangible benefit from improved enterprise values have developed a reputation for high consent fees and big interest rate increases when changes are needed.
As an added benefit, lower cash interest costs increase financial flexibility and reduce the chances of financial distress. In good times, higher free cash flow can be used for capital expenditures, working capital or amortization of restrictive senior debt. In weak performance periods, the large cushion against fixed charges makes a liquidity crunch less likely.
Modestly leveraged, sponsor-driven mezzanine providers are best suited to provide sponsors with highly flexible subordinated debt structures with warrants. Such lenders specialize in underwriting enterprise value and have a track record of working well with equity investors and senior lenders. Partnership minded subordinated debt providers can provide flexibility for the companies, even in tough times, in return for a long term relationship with like-minded sponsors.
|
How
Have All Coupon Deals
Evolved?
The
Recent Past: 1999-2000
It was
subordinated debt lenders, not borrowers, who first
moved away from warrants. In the late
1990s, many weak LBO's generated no warrant gains. Therefore, many
subordinated lenders started asking for higher coupons
and offered to take fewer warrants in return. Expected lender
IRR's stayed level, but coupon levels rose from 12 or 13
percent to 16 percent or
higher.
2000-2001
All coupon
subordinated debt structures attracted sponsors because
of the refinancing potential. Higher cash and
PIK coupons did not reduce total available leverage
(which was set by senior lenders as a multiple of
EBITDA, not free cash flow.) Sponsors saw
that these structures could allow low cost refinancings
of high cost debt without permanent equity dilution if
company performance improved (which it generally did) or
if availability of senior debt improved, which in fact
it did.
Fast growing
publicly traded mezzanine providers, like the Business
Development Companies (BDCs), promoted all coupon
structures and used low prepayment premiums as an
additional tool to gain market share. Since
traditional mezzanine funds can
only put money to
work once before |
returning it to
investors, early prepayment is a big disadvantage for
those funds.
Meanwhile, shareholders of publicly traded
subordinated debt lenders focus almost exclusively on
current yield, so capital gains from warrants and
average duration of portfolio investments are less
important.
The more flexible providers (especially those who
could recycle investments that were repaid early) used
low prepayment premiums to make it much harder for
traditional funds to compete.
This was a major
shift.
Private mezzanine providers typically speak with
great pride about the superior protections that they get
over holders of public high yield bonds. Yet for the
first time, prepayment protection became dramatically
stronger for investors in public high yield bonds than
for investors in private subordinated debt or for the
public shareholders of the subordinated debt oriented
BDC's!
Importantly,
all-in costs of subordinated debt dropped from 19-21% to
15-18% for middle market deals.
The
Present:
Lower cash coupon
warrant deals seem to be regaining lost
marketshare.
More sponsors are recognizing that all coupon
subordinated debt transactions sometimes reduce total
leverage available, lower potential sponsor IRR's and
hurt
post-closing
flexibility.
Many sponsors and
junior lenders are
returning
to
a
partnership |
mentality. Subordinated
debt BDC's and other all coupon subordinated lenders are
fighting to keep market share, but more and more
sponsors are seeing the benefits of the lower cash
coupons of subordinated debt with warrants.
The
Future: Late 2004
The massive wave
of prepayments of deals done in 2001, 2002 and early
2003 will probably convince even the most yield hungry
publicly traded subordinated debt lenders (or their
shareholders) that it is hard to replace good assets
fast enough.
Without higher prepayment premiums and/or warrant
gains, it will be hard for all coupon investors to earn
enough dollars of profits from good deals to maintain
their returns.
2005+
As the cycle
matures, credit losses on subordinated debt investments
will start to rise. Some major
subordinated debt lenders who have relied on all coupon
structures might have serious performance problems from
credit losses on a relatively small number of
deals.
Their gains from the good deals-with no warrants
and little prepayment protection-may not provide enough
dollars of profit to offset the credit losses. Sponsors may
choose to avoid these lenders out of concerns over
lender stability.
|
Golub Associates is a reliable provider of debt and equity capital with unusual flexibility in structuring transactions. The firm was named "Financing Firm of the Year" in 2003 by The Mergers & Acquisitions Advisor for its ten-year track record of closing deals on time, as proposed. The firm is aggressively seeking financings and completed 14 new investments in 2003. Typical investments range from $4 million to $25 million, with additional capital available for future growth.